Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 117.647835 130.100530 142.899364 157.009382 172.100496 187.729799 205.112254
2025-03-02 90.943019 108.523110 127.553938 149.565603 174.201332 200.805502 231.586169
2025-03-09 74.019257 94.948484 118.724895 147.435117 180.858704 218.245056 262.920403
2025-03-16 62.291131 85.537930 113.151755 147.804459 189.549294 237.652899 296.688855
2025-03-23 55.300520 80.729393 112.146875 152.894341 203.402312 263.033860 337.797373
2025-03-30 48.767635 75.559854 109.931074 155.900176 214.381265 284.940150 375.080639
2025-04-06 42.332043 69.653532 106.038191 156.169095 221.535632 302.011143 406.607076
2025-04-13 37.090676 64.699537 102.802584 156.776535 228.756184 318.996852 438.090831
2025-04-20 33.960662 62.360737 102.785210 161.407307 241.063569 342.426709 477.867547
2025-04-27 30.888656 59.716711 102.022080 164.782368 251.598067 363.631819 515.070429
2025-05-04 28.577522 57.959815 102.302716 169.445540 263.806391 387.083908 555.402913
2025-05-11 26.146588 55.713711 101.623483 172.573288 273.851709 407.761784 592.381097
2025-05-18 21.755004 49.723693 94.911314 166.721435 271.400247 412.026955 608.397871
2025-05-25 18.549464 45.367318 90.355570 163.716310 272.710704 421.237760 631.002412
2025-06-01 16.382753 42.612946 88.116845 164.008042 278.622087 436.710516 662.117658
2025-06-08 14.730130 40.612301 86.934903 165.793344 286.653147 455.162891 697.460404
2025-06-15 13.985097 40.331126 88.615339 172.084378 301.408923 483.151132 746.083299
2025-06-22 12.901083 39.192867 88.699706 175.771994 312.321475 505.899220 787.847671
2025-06-29 11.475437 37.100701 86.912960 176.287240 318.397104 521.858945 820.460124
2025-07-06 10.240242 35.236333 85.369989 177.069342 324.809956 538.319186 853.906277
2025-07-13 9.649892 34.800125 86.425862 182.189460 337.952273 564.567011 901.230485
2025-07-20 8.947272 33.980180 86.676272 185.907830 348.950360 587.838924 944.635969
2025-07-27 8.451760 33.607121 87.741138 191.013617 362.168975 614.456961 992.974436